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Everton - Arsenal Betting Preview: Expect a score draw with Naismith a good bet to net again
28 Nov 2012 17:26:00
It's potentially the battle for fourth come May when Everton host Arsenal at Goodison Park. Adam Bate cannot separate the sides on Wednesday night and has a 10/1 value bet in mind
Everton and their manager David Moyes will feel they have wasted a chance to strengthen their grip on a top-four finish after a series of disappointing results.The Toffees have taken just one point from two games against Reading and Norwich, surrendering a last-minute equaliser against the Canaries just as they had against Fulham recently.
But Moyes’ men are still well-placed ahead of this home fixture against Arsenal and have a one point lead over the Gunners in the Premier League table. Everton are 13/8 (2.62) to win with Paddy Power.
As a measure of how close this game is, Arsenal are exactly the same price of 13/8 (2.62) to claim the three points themselves. Arsene Wenger’s side have picked up just a solitary point from their previous three away games in the league but have also beaten Tottenham 5-2 and qualified from their Champions League group in that time.
With the prices so tight it could be tempting to opt for the draw at 12/5 (2.62) with Paddy Power.
In the goalscorer markets, Nikica Jelavic is the favourite to open the scoring at 11/2 (6.50) for the home side.
Olivier Giroud has found some form for the Gunners and has now scored five goals in his last seven games for the club. He’s at 6/1 (7.00) to net the opener for the visitors.
But at a slightly longer price of 7/1 (8.00), Steven Naismith looks the best bet in this one as he has broken the deadlock in each of Everton’s previous two matches.He’s especially worth considering at that price because Arsenal have only opened the scoring in two of their last nine Premier League matches.
Admittedly, Arsenal didn't concede last time out against Aston Villa either. In fact, 0-0 is their most common scoreline this season and is available at 10/1 (11.00) with Paddy Power.
But that seems unlikely up against an Everton side that has become more expansive this season, scoring and conceding in each of their last eight matches.
The most common Everton scoreline this season is the 2-2 draw and that looks the value choice at 10/1 (11.00) with Paddy Power in this one.
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BET |
OF THE |
DAY |
| BEST BET |
VALUE BET |
| Naismith first scorer at 7/1 (8.00) with Paddy Power |
2-2 draw at 10/1 (11.00) with Paddy Power |
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Adam Bate is a professional freelance journalist who specialises in football and betting. He is editor of GhostGoal which can be found here - you can also follow Adam on
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