Phil Kitromilides believes the price of evens (2.0) offered on a Brazilian victory is simply too good to turn down for Wednesday's game and should be backed accordinglyThis fixture holds sentimental value for Brazilians being as it is a re-run of the 1958 World Cup final, which was Brazil's first triumph.
Though many things have changed since then, the result should be the same, and a Brazil victory offered at evens (2.00) by William Hill looks like an excellent selection.
Discounting the Olympics, Brazil have lost the last two friendlies they have played, beaten 2-0 and 4-3 by Mexico and Argentina respectively.
Yet the expected starting line up against the Swedes, who are offered at 11/4 (3.75), should be far too strong for the Scandinavians.
The likes of Leandro Damiao and Neymar excelled in the recent Olympic tournament as Brazil claimed a silver medal and the two players added another zero to their value. Damiao is is 6/1 (7.0) to score first or 7/4 (2.75) anytime after his fruitful time in London.
Against a Sweden side that has kept just one clean sheet in their last six matches, Brazil's forwards will fancy their chances of scoring, and thus helping the South Americans to victory.
The final compelling argument for backing Brazil is a historical one; Sweden have only beaten Brazil twice in 14 matches and last did so 23 years ago. All this considered, the price of evens (2.00) looks almost too good to turn down and it is a surprise to see the South Americans not odds-on favourites.
For slightly bigger odds, try backing over 1.5 goals in the first half at 2/1 (3.00). This bet has paid out in six of Brazil's last seven friendlies, as well as in Sweden's last two home friendlies, and while not offering the biggest odds for a value bet, the chances of a return on any investment look promising.
|Brazil to win at evens (2.00) with William Hill
||Over 1.5 goals first half at 2/1 (3.00) William Hill|
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Phil Kitromilides is a sports broadcaster working on radio and TV in London and Madrid. You can also follow Phil on Twitter.