JD's Betting Blog: Don't expect Roy Hodgson to see out four years with Three Lions

JD reflects on a busy week of managerial changes and gives his take on the new England boss and there's also two weekend tips including Newcastle to upset Manchester City
Pep Guardiola moves on

It has been an eventful week in the football world, especially with high profile managerial changes. Pep Guardiola announced that he will be leaving Barcelona at the end of the season for a well earned break and he will be replaced with his assistant Tito Vilanova.

His departure will be a sad day for football as he has created probably the best team in our lifetime in his glorious tenure at the helm. His final match will be the Copa del Rey final on May 25 where Barca are 3/10 (1.30) to emerge victorious in 90 minutes against Athletic Bilbao and make it 14 winning titles during his reign of supremacy.

A new challenge for Roy Hodgson

Roy Hodgson has been appointed England manager, somewhat surprisingly after Harry Redknapp seemed nailed on to take up the role at the end of the season.

The appointment by the English FA is a sensible option and it is the first time they have ever hired someone with experience on the international stage.  

Paddy Power offer 4/1 (5.0) that Hodgson wins a trophy with England. If you feel that might be optimistic, he is 4/6 (1.67) with the same firm not to see out his four-year contract.  

The England job is very high profile and comes with extreme pressures from the media and fans alike so this bet certainly has a very good chance of winning, albeit it may only appeal to big hitters though who don't mind waiting for their money.

For those who feel that his tenure will not last long and England will have a poor European Championship, he is 12/1 (13.0) to leave after Euro 2012 and before the World Cup 2014 qualifiers. It is an unlikely scenario given the length and scope of his contract so to leave during the World Cup 2014 qualifiers may appeal more at 8/1 (9.0) with Paddy Power.

Weekend Tips

Looking ahead to the weekend, the title race in England has come right down to the wire and is likely to be decided on goal difference.

Manchester City travel to Newcastle United on Sunday and a victory for them will mean almost certainly they will be crowned champions. They will just require a victory at home to QPR on the last day of the season to ensure they finish top.  

It is no formality that they win on Tyneside though and the 8/13 (1.62) represents little in the way of value. Newcastle United are chasing a Champions League spot and have the players to get something from the game.  

The Magpies are 5/4 (2.25) on the double chance market and that may be a better option. In Germany, Stuttgart have been flying over the last 10 matches and they can finish their campaign with a victory over Wolfsburg priced at 10/11 (1.91).

            Selection One
             Selection Two
Stuttgart to win at 10/11 (1.91) with Paddypower Newcastle United (Double Chance) at 5/4 with Paddypower

Paddy Power are offering £20 free when you sign up and despoit £10 through Goal.com

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