Swansea City at home should be the ideal fixture for Mauricio Pellegrino to start his Southampton reign with three points on Saturday.
Paul Clement managed to keep the Swans up last season but Gylfi Sigurdsson is set to join Everton having not played their pre-season tour and Fernando Llorente is out with a broken arm, robbing him of his two best players.
Southampton have had plenty of upheaval to cope with too, of course, with their highly-rated centre-back Virgil van Dijk having handed in a transfer request in a bid to force a move away from the club.
Pellegrino has had his hands full with the £50 million-rated defender, who has been linked with Liverpool and Chelsea, and it is hard to see him playing for the club again.
But the Saints have finished in the top eight of the Premier League four years in a row, so even without van Dijk they can look forward to another season of consolidation, although getting back into Europe will be their aim.
While 8/13 (1.62) is an understandably low price for Southampton to win this weekend - maybe one for Saturday accumulators - there is another angle to exploit to squeeze some more value out of backing the Saints.
Southampton failed to score in their last five home matches last season, with Claude Puel's cautious tactics frustrating fans, and Pellegrino has not got a magic wand to wave and fix the problems the team evidently has in creating chances.
So while the Saints should win reasonably comfortably against a Swans side that looks primed for another relegation battle, it is likely to be a close game. A single goal could well be enough to win it, with Southampton to beat Swansea 1-0 an appealing option at 5/1 (6.00) with dabblebet.
But instead, the recommended selection is for Southampton to win with under 2.5 goals scored, which is offered by dabblebet at a juicy enough 23/10 (2.30).
Swansea's last five Premier League games all saw under 2.5 goals scored so backing a narrow Saints win at St Mary's looks like a solid start to the new campaign.