Preston North End and Aston Villa meet in the Championship on Wednesday evening at Deepdale in a bid to further their respective play-off hopes.
The hosts are winless in four and their 3-2 home loss to Brentford on Saturday saw them suffer back-to-back defeats for the first time since April.
Meanwhile, Aston Villa might see Sunday’s 0-0 draw at Birmingham as a missed opportunity, putting more pressure on them to win this match and hold down a place in the top six.
The Villans are 15/8 (2.88) to do so and build on a run of five victories in seven league matches, whilst Preston are 6/4 (2.50) to take the spoils, as they have done in three of the seven games on their own turf this year.
There could be value in backing a draw, with 9/4 (3.25) quotes implying a probability of 30.8%; the points have in fact been shared in 11 of the 28 games involving either side, which indicates a 39.3% chance.
The bookies have opposed goals - perhaps in light of Villa’s conservative display at St Andrews - however, Keinan Davis’ introduction from the bench made a huge difference to their attacking play, with the young striker and Jonathan Kodjia hitting the woodwork in the team’s attacking play.
The latter’s injury means Davis is likely to start and in the nine previous matches he has been in the line-up, Villa have scored 15 goals at an average of 1.67 per game. Considering Preston have a makeshift defence and have shipped 10 goals in their last four, the 7/4 (2.75) on the visitors scoring over 1.5 goals looks appealing.
The Lancashire outfit, though, have scored 16 goals in their last eight, and as such, over 2.5 goals at 11/10 (2.10) might therefore be of interest, that quote implies a probability of 47.6%, yet that eventuality has occurred in 50% of games involving either side this term, which gives us a smidge of value.
All in all, the 9/4 (3.25) price on both sides taking a share of the points is too good to miss out on, although speculative punters might like the look of a 2-2 draw at 14/1 (15.0), which has occurred in two of Preston’s last four outings and was the reuslt when the two teams last met at Villa Park back in January.