New Zealand v Peru Betting: Visitors to lay down marker in first leg as Russia awaits winner

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The visitors had an excellent scoring record in World Cup qualifying and we think they can net at least twice in the first leg of their play-off

Peru were the surprise package of the CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying tournament and their strong finish left continental champions and bitter rivals Chile out of the qualifying places.

La Roja will be watching next summer's competition in Russia from home and Peru will be desperate to avoid that same fate when they take on New Zealand in a two-legged winner-takes-all play-off.

Naturally the South Americans are strong favourites against the champions of Oceania, although it is New Zealand who have more recent experience of playing at the World Cup; the All Whites qualified for the 2010 competition following a play-off win over Bahrain while Peru have not been represented at a World Cup since 1982.

Hedgardo Marin Mexico Chris Wood New Zealand friendly 10082016

Despite having home advantage in Wellington this weekend, New Zealand are clear outsiders and are priced at 7/2 (4.50) with Paddy Power, while Peru can be backed at 8/11 (1.73) and the draw is offered at 13/5 (3.60).

Peru's away form in qualifying was relatively strong, with the side winning in the crushing altitude of both Bolivia and Ecuador, as well as picking up three points in Paraguay and an impressive draw in Argentina.

Ricardo Gareca's side are also unbeaten in their last eight matches in all competitions, during which time they have scored in every game apart from the 0-0 in Buenos Aires.

New Zealand Peru graphic

Meanwhile, New Zealand's record against sides from outside Oceania or South Asia is extremely poor; in 2017 they have lost to Northern Ireland, Belarus, Russia, Mexico and Portugal as well as losing their most recent match 2-1 against Japan.

The All Whites have conceded at least two goals in five of their last six matches (including against the Solomon Islands) and the price of evens (2.00) for Peru to score over 1.5 goals should appeal.

In their away matches in CONMEBOL qualifying, the Peruvians scored twice in Ecuador and Venezuela, three times in Bolivia and four times in Paraguay, with only Brazil scored more goals on the road than Peru; therefore, backing the visitors to net at least twice in Wellington looks a solid option.  

Peru to score over 1.5 goals at evens (2.00) for a 2pt stake with Paddy Power
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