Derby County v Sunderland Betting Tips: Latest odds, team news, preview and predictions

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Gary Rowett’s play-off chasing Rams are hot favourites to beat Chris Coleman’s struggling Black Cats at the Ipro and our tipster expects a home win

Promotion hopefuls Derby County host bottom side Sunderland in the Championship on Friday night.

The Black Cats are only five points from safety despite recording just five wins all season, and recent performances don’t offer cause for optimism.

Derby, 5/1 (6.0) to go up this season with dabblebet, have their own issues to address after a seven-match winless run has left their play-off hopes in jeopardy.

Latest odds

The Rams are 4/9 (1.44) to record the victory that would guarantee they keep their place in the top six, at least until Easter Monday.

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Sunderland are 6/1 (7.0) to grab a shock first victory in 11, while a draw - which occured when these sides met at the Stadium of Light on the opening day - is 10/3 (4.33).

Team News

Derby midfielder Joe Ledley could still be sidelined with a calf problem while striker Sam Winnall is out for the rest of the season with a serious knee injury.

Sunderland’s Jake Clarke-Salter begins a two-match ban after his red card against Preston, and fellow defender Tyias Browning is out for the remainder of the campaign with a groin injury.

Comfortable Derby win

The price on the outright home win is a tad short, but there are other ways of backing the hosts; 10 of Derby’s 16 victories – and seven of their nine home triumphs - have come by a margin of two or more goals.

Derby Sunderland graphic

Equally, 11 of Sunderland’s 20 defeats this season have been by two or more goals, including 3-0 at Sheffield United, 4-0 at Cardiff and 3-1 at Birmingham since Christmas.

The home win with the -1 handicap might therefore appeal at 6/5 (2.2).

Preview and predictions

Derby have won to nil in 32% of their Championship games – a higher percentage than everyone bar the top two – and have conceded just two goals in the 11 home games that have seen them score first.

By contrast, Sunderland have lost without scoring in 34% of their games.

For our best bet therefore, we’re chancing on Derby being the only team to score in this one at odds of 11/10 (2.1).

Betting Banner - Best Bet Derby to win to nil at 11/10 (2.1) for a 3pt stake with dabblebet 

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