France manager Didier Deschamps surprised most people with his team selection for Les Blues' second match and it very nearly backfired horribly for the hosts. Stars Paul Pogba and Antoine Griezmann were left on the bench against Albania, only to enter in the second half and completely change the game with the Atletico Madrid man scoring the vital opener in the 90th minute and Pogba playing a magnifcient long ball for the second goal in stoppage time.
Les Bleus have left it extremely late in both of their victories so far, yet they are now through to the last 16 and need just a draw in their final match to top Group A.
Switzerland meanwhile are unbeaten after a win and a draw from their two games and have at times played some nice football, but their principal defect remains their inefficiency in front of goal.
With more accurate finishing, Haris Seferovic could well be the tournament's leading marksman at the moment, with the Eintracht Frankfurt striker spurning at least three excellent chances to score over the past two matches.
France are subject to a new customer offer from Paddy Power who are offering anyone opening an account the chance to back the home side at a huge quote of 5/1 (6.0)
The Swiss will need their main striker to be more clinical in the final group game, although it is possible that Vladimir Petkovic might opt for young Basel forward Breel Embolo up front instead, with the 19-year-old replacing Seferovic against Romania and looking lively. The Alpine nation remain clear outsiders against the hosts with Paddy Power offering them at 4/1 (5.00) for the win, while France can be backed at 10/11 (1.91) and the draw is offered at 2/1 (3.00).
The general pattern at this tournament of course has been one of tight, low-scoring matches, decided often by late goals. To this end, there could be a strong case to be made for backing under 2.5 goals at 8/13 (1.62) or perhaps more appealing is the price of evens (2.00) for a draw at half time. Other markets to consider include opposing both teams to score at 8/11 (1.73) or investing in France to win to nil at 15/8 (2.88).
Yet the price for a win outright for Les Bleus looks big enough for our investment, with Deschamps' men gaining some momentum after two wins. Whoever Deschamps picks, the team should be more than capable of unlocking a Swiss defence that at times against both Albania and Romania looked ragged.
At the other end of the field their wastefulness in front of goal will not help Switzerland, and a France win looks decent value allowing punters to almost double their initial investment.
|France to win at 10/11 (1.91) OR 5/1 (6.0) for new customers with Paddy Power|