Atletico Madrid head into the second leg of this last-16 tie with a commanding 4-2 lead in an extraordinary match at the Bay Arena. Los Rojiblancos were in complete control of the game at 2-0 then 3-1 up before conceding and giving their opponents a way back into the match.
Fernando Torres' strike four minutes from time, however, maintained their two-goal cushion, and with four away tallies, it is difficult to see Atletico throwing away such an advantage. Diego Simeone's men, however, have been a little erratic of late, and remain a different side to the rigidly organised outfit we have seen over the last few seasons.
Nevertheless, they are massive favorites against the side currently 10th in the Bundesliga, with Betway offering Atletico at 13/20 (1.65) while Leverkusen can be backed at 9/2 (5.50) and the draw is offered at 3/1 (4.00).
In truth, it is hard to envisage anything other than a win for the La Liga outfit, who boast an imperious home record in the Champions League. Indeed, such is the strength at the Estadio Vicente Calderon that there should be plenty of interest in backing them to win in 90 minutes, with the price actually looking fairly generous.
The only side to have won a Champions League game at the Calderon since 2009 are Benfica back in September 2015, with Simeone's men recording seven wins and one draw in their last eight home games in the competition.
What stands out in that run is the side's defensive record, with Atletico conceding just one goal in their last eight European home matches. Backing Los Rojiblancos to win to nil at 7/4 (2.75) looks like a tempting proposition, especially against an off-form side like Leverkusen.
For those looking to play it a little safer, backing Atletico to keep a clean sheet at 11/8 (2.38) should greatly appeal, with the side from the Spanish capital having kept clean sheets in 16 of their last 18 home European games.
|Atletico Madrid clean sheet at 11/8 (2.38) for a 1.5pt stake with Betway|