Leicester City will be hoping to write another memorable chapter in their remarkable recent history when they travel to the Estadio Vicente Calderon to take on Atletico Madrid in Wednesday’s Champions League quarter-final first leg.
Having come back from a 2-1 aggregate deficit to see off Sevilla in the last round, the English champions are available at 10/1 (11.00) with Paddy Power to continue to upset the odds on their competition debut by coming out on top against last season’s finalists.
However, Diego Simeone’s men have won 16 and lost just one of their 21 home games in this competition since he took over, and are clear 2/7 (1.29) favourites to take the upper hand in the tie with yet another victory.
Even so, the hosts were held to a 0-0 home draw by Bayer Leverkusen in the last round, and there are odds of 9/2 (5.50) on them being forced to settle for a stalemate yet again here.
While they may have been relieved to avoid the real heavyweights like Real Madrid or Bayern Munich, in a way the Colchoneros could be the worst possible draw for Craig Shakespeare’s team.
Unlikely to underestimate their opponents after seeing what happened to Sevilla, Simeone’s pragmatic philosophy should also ensure they do not play into the Foxes’ hands by overcommitting in attack and leaving themselves exposed on the break.
Instead, fans are likely to witness a cagey tactical battle at a ground that has rarely been the setting for open European encounters, with the hosts keeping 17 clean sheets in their last 20 Champions League home games but scoring more than twice on just five occasions in that run.
With this in mind, evens (2.00) seem generous on Atletico seeing under 2.5 goals for the eighth time in 10 home games in this competition when they take on a Leicester side that has scored just once in their last three on the road.
|Under 2.5 goals at evens (2.00) for a 2pt stake with Paddy Power|