Long-standing foes Aston Villa and Birmingham City clash at Villa Park at noon on Sunday.
Both are among the Championship’s form teams but they have contrasting targets. The hosts have automatic promotion in their sights, while their neighbours need to secure survival.
Villa are 4/6 (1.67) favourites with Paddy Power to record a seventh consecutive league win for the first time since 1990.
Birmingham, meanwhile, are 4/1 (5.0) to clinch a surprise win in B6, which would be their first since 2004 - when Steve Bruce was their manager.
A repeat of the draw we saw at St Andrews back in October meanwhile, is 13/5 (3.6) .
With Jonathan Grounds out with a serious leg injury, Cohen Bramall is likely to start at left-back.
Derby day specialist Gabriel Agbonlahor is likely to feature and is 13/2 (7.5) to score last, but Jonathan Kodjia is a long-term absentee.
The case for unders
Aston Villa have won 1-0 on three of the last four occasions they have hosted Blues and a repeat is 9/2 (5.5).
The other game in that sequence was a 0-0 draw, so a fifth consecutive Villa Park grudge match that sees under 1.5 goals might appeal at 15/8 (2.88).
Alternatively, the hosts can be backed for a clean sheet at a tempting 11/10 (2.1).
Tips and predictions
Villa have conceded just 11 first half goals this season and Birmingham only 16; both rank in the top nine for that statistic and given it’s a derby, we can expect an especially tight opening period here.
Our best bet, therefore, is the 13/8 (2.63) on under 0.5 first half goals.
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