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After edging the first leg at the Amex 2-1, they are firm favourites to progress to Wembley, with our tipster backing their man on form to strike again

Derby County drew first blood against Brighton & Hove Albion on Thursday in the quest to reach the play-off final and move to within one game of the Premier League. A Chris Martin penalty and fortunate Tomaz Kuszczak own goal cancelled out Jesse Lingard's opener to give the Rams an advantage in the tie.

Steve McClaren will be confident his side can go on and progress to the final with a sensational home record on paper. Since McClaren took over the Rams, he's taken charge of 18 league home games, winning 14 of those matches, losing only two.

With 17 goals scored in their last five games at the Ipro Stadium and five wins in a row, it's no surprise to see Derby priced at 10/11 (1.91) to win with William Hill.

Brighton have it all to do on Sunday, with the defeat on Thursday their first in nine matches. Oscar Garcia's men have a solid record on the road this season, losing only once in their last eight, winning half of those games. Garcia will hope the heroics of the performance against Nottingham Forest on the last day of the season will give them the confidence, with the Seagulls scoring late on to clinch the final play-off spot. William Hill price them at 12/5 (3.40), with the same firm pricing the draw at 9/4 (3.25).

With another open match expected in this playoff tie, it's worth looking at the goalscorer market for a bet that stands out.

Chris Martin has been excellent this season for the Rams, and held his nerve on Thursday to score a penalty, before striking against the bar, which bounced off Kuszczak and in to the net. The Derby man has six goals in his last eight matches, and has already netted twice against Brighton earlier this season. The price of him at even money (2.00) to net anytime with William Hill is certainly worth backing.

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Chris Martin to score anytime at even money (2.00) 1.5pt stake with William Hill

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