After an 11/8 winner in last night's semi final, Phil Kitromilides explains why he is backing Real Madrid to score over 1.5 goals against the Bundesliga champions this eveningIn the aftermath of Real Madrid's last home game in the Champions League against Borussia Dortmund where Los Blancos had comprehensively defeated the side that knocked them out of the tournament last season, every Madrid player was asked about exacting revenge.
All of them suggested that was not on the agenda, except Sergio Ramos who endearingly answered "If I'm honest, yeah it was a bit".
The same thing could arguably said about tonight's meeting, as Madrid face the side that eliminated them two years ago on penalties, with Ramos missing the decisive spot kick.
The defender will no doubt then be looking to settle some scores and Carlo Ancelotti's men are priced at a healthy looking 6/4 (2.50) with Paddy Power to claim the win, while Bayern are offered at 15/8 (2.88) and the draw available at 23/10 (3.30).
Unlike yesterday's semi-final first-leg a few miles down the road at the Vicente Calderon, where we correctly predicted a tight encounter, tonight's match at the Bernabeu should be much more open affair.
Indeed over 2.5 goals is offered at just 4/7 (1.57) with both teams to score even lower at 1/2 (1.50).
However the price of 10/11 (1.91) for Madrid to score over 1.5 goals looks to be an intriguing prospect.
Though the nature of the tie may condition Los Blancos' approach, they have generally been in spectacular scoring form at the Bernabeu.
Indeed the Spanish giants have scored two or more goals in 33 of their last 35 home games in all competitions and while Bayern are a supremely strong opponent Madrid have all the weapons needed to find the back of the net against them.
We should perhaps not read too much into the Bavarian club's recent results given how early they retained their Bundesliga crown, yet they have managed to keep only 11 clean sheets in their last 13 fixtures.
Madrid have made the Bernabeu the toughest place to visit in European football and boast a three year unbeaten European record there longer than any other major continental side. The price of 10/11 (1.91) for them to score two or more at home regardless of the opponent is well worth taking.
|Real Madrid to score over 1.5 goals at 10/11 (1.91) 2.5pt stake with Paddy Power|
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Phil Kitromilides is a sports journalist and TV presenter in Madrid