Our man at the Bernabeu, Phil Kitromilides, believes Madrid to score over 3.5 goals is a selection well worth backing even if they are without thier star forward
To suggest Los Blancos are massive favourites would be an understatement with William Hill pricing them at just 1/20 (1.05) to claim all three points, one of their shortest prices of the season, while the visitors can be backed at a massive 25/1 (26.00). Even the draw is available at 12/1 (13.00) with the bookmakers.
But Madrid should win this game comfortably, even if they are likely to be without Cristiano Ronaldo who has a thigh injury.
The game between the two sides in Almeria in November finished 5-0 to Madrid and the last time the Andalusians came to the Bernabeu they lost 8-1. That should give punters some insight into the nature of the task that awaits the visitors.
Finding any kind of value therefore is tough, so the best option may well be to take the price of 7/10 (1.70) on Madrid to score over 3.5 goals.
Clearly the odds are not the biggest but they are just about large enough for us to consider and this selection, which has an excellent chance of paying out.
Without Cristiano Ronaldo Madrid have scored four goals at home against Valladolid, Villarreal and Galatasaray as well as away at Real Sociedad last week. All thoses sides are better than Almeria, and Madrid should have no problems netting at least four on Saturday night.
Furthermore, the visitors have found life extremely tough on the road against the better teams in the division this season, conceding four against both Atletico Madrid and Barcelona while leaking six on a trip to San Mames earlier in the campaign.
|Real Madrid to score over 3.5 goals at 7/10 (1.70) 3.0pt stake with William Hill|
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Phil Kitromilides is a sports journalist and TV presenter in Madrid