Our man in Spain, Phil Kitromilides, believes a goalless opening half hour is on the best bet when Ernesto Valverde's men travel to Valencia
At the new San Mames stadium the Basques have been imperious, only suffering two league defeats on their own turf this season, yet on the road their performances have been less impressive. This evening they travel to the east coast to take on a Levante side delighted to be treading water in the anonymity of mid-table.
William Hill price a victory for the Valencian club at 3/1 (4.00) while Athletic are offered at 19/20 (1.95) and the draw available at 23/10 (3.30).
With the match odds seemingly offering little in the way of value, especially considering Bilbao's poor form on the road, it could pay dividends to look towards the goal markets to find the best bet.
On paper this looks like being a low-scoring encounter, with Levante far from prolific and Athletic struggling to find the back of the net with consistency away from Bilbao.
Under 2.5 goals is offered at 4/6 (1.65) and this has a great chance of paying out, yet is offered at a price that will attract only serious punters and there appears to be a better priced selection within one of the other markets available with William Hill.
For our needs, a more generous option might be the price of 11/10 (2.10) for the first goal to come after 30 minutes. Athletic have failed to score in the opening half hour in any of their last five games on the road, while Levante have only scored one goal before 31 minutes in their last five matches so the statistics suggest that should this match follow the recent trends, punters can maximise their returns by looking to this bigger price of 11/10 (2.10).
In a tight Monday night encounter in La Liga a goalless opening half hour looks extremely likely and is offered at seeminly a hugely healthy price.
|First goal after 30 minutes at 11/10 (2.10) 2.0pt stake with William Hill|
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Phil Kitromilides is a sports journalist and TV presenter in Madrid