La Viola knocked the hosts out of last year’s competition at the last 16 stage with a 1-0 away win and are 6/4 (2.50) favourites with William Hill to give themselves a precious away lead tonight.
However, Francesco Guidolin’s men have won both meetings between the sides since then and are available at 2/1 (3.00) to come out on top once again here.
The home crowd have seen just one stalemate in 13 competitive fixtures so far this campaign, but you can get odds of 21/10 (3.10) on the sides cancelling each other this evening.
The cup has provided a welcome distraction for the Zebrette in what has been a disappointing season, with just seven Serie A wins so far leaving them flirting with a relegation battle.
However, after ending a four match league losing with an important 2-0 away win over Bologna on Saturday, Guidolin’s side go into this match in good shape to pull off another cup upset, having knocked out both Milan clubs in the previous two rounds.
Their confidence seems well placed after seven wins in the last nine home games against Vincenzo Montella’s men although with a second leg on the horizon, the hosts are unlikely to push too hard and risk leaving themselves open at the back.
Instead, a cagey encounter seems likely, similar to Udinese’s 1-0 home win in November’s league encounter, with odds of 10/11 (1.91) providing the best value on no more than once team finding the net.
That bet would have paid out both in seven of the last nine games at the Stadio Friuli and seven of Fiorentina’s last nine matches in all competitions, as well as three of their last four meetings on this ground.
|'No' on Both teams to score for a 1.5pt stake at 10/11 (1.91) with William Hill
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Al Hain-Cole is an experienced tipster and avid follower of European football. He specialises in accumulators and if you would like to read more from Al you can follow him on Twitter here.