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Our man in Spain Phil Kitromilides believes the hosts will continue their superb home form with a win by at least two goals this evening

Monday night in La Liga has thrown up what is commonly termed as a home banker, as the mightily impressive Athletic Bilbao host one of the division's least-inspiring sides in Real Valladolid.

With Athletic still unbeaten at home this season, and Valladolid floundering in the relegation zone, it is unsurprising to find the hosts priced at 1/3 (1.33) with bet365 while an away win can be backed at 8/1 (9.00).

Yet Ernesto Valverde's side should have little problem in record their ninth home win of the season, with Valladolid conceding goals on the road at an alarming rate.

Their solitary win in their last 17 away league games came at struggling Rayo Vallecano in October, and Valladolid have shipped four goals in each of their last three league fixtures away from home.

With Athletic consistent in front of goal, backing the hosts to win with a -1 goal handicap at 4/5 (1.80) looks like it could prove the wisest option for this game.

Athletic hit six in their last home match against Almeria, the first time the Basques have netted six in the Primera Division for 17 years. In front of goal they are clicking, while Valladolid are looking increasingly more nervous and devoid of belief.

This bet has paid out in three of Athletic's last four games in all competitions, and should do again this evening against clearly inferior opposition.

Athletic Bilbao to win with a -1 goal handicap at 4/5 (1.80) for 1.5pts with bet365

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