Phil Kitromilides explains why the lesser-ranked side's poor away record should see them comfortably defeated by one of the world's most talented teams, even without Lionel Messi
Argentina finished top of Conmebol qualifying - aided no doubt by the absence of hosts Brazil - while Ecuador did well to finish fourth above reigning South American champions Uruguay, who have all but secured their place at the finals after a convincing win over Jordan in midweek.
Ecuador's strength, of course, is at home, playing their matches in the stultifying altitude of Quito, a factor which has seen them lose just two of their last 27 home qualifiers and played a major part in their qualification campaign for next summer's tournament.
There will be no geographical advantage for Ecuador in the MetLife Stadium, though, and Betway are top price at 5/1 (6.00) for them to claim a win.
Argentina, meanwhile, are offered at just 11/20 (1.55) to claim victory with the draw available at 14/5 (3.80) at Betway.
Although Ecuador are strong at home, away from their capital they are considerably weaker, winning just one and losing six of their last 10 qualifiers.
Their last away game against Argentina saw them beaten 4-0 and punters should be confident of backing Alejandro Sabella's side to claim a win once more despite the absence of Lionel Messi.
The squad still includes plenty of top class players such as Ezequiel Lavezzi, Eric Lamela, Gonzalo Higuain and Angel Di Maria.
The price for them to win outright is too small to consider, yet the price of 6/5 (2.20) for Argentina half-time/full-time is well worth considering.
If this is a game that the Albiceleste look like winning then this bet makes sense, especially when you consider that it has paid out in each of their last five victories and Ecuador's frailties away from home can be exposed.
|Argetina half-time/full-time for a 1pt stake at 6/5 (2.20) with Betway
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