Our Spanish expert Phil Kitromilides believes these two struggling sides will serve up a game with fewer than three goalsAn Andadalusian derby of real significance takes place on Sunday evening at La Rosaleda as Malaga host Real Betis with both sides desperate for a win.
It is hard to know which team is in more trouble. Malaga are a point above their rivals from Seville yet have not won in five matches and their last home game saw them humiliated 5-0 by Celta Vigo. William Hill offer Bernd Schuster's men at 21/20 (2.05) for the win.
Betis, for their part, did beat Villarreal four weeks ago, yet have not won since and some of the more extreme sections of their supporters have made their displeasure known by turning up at training to vent their anger at the players.
Betis are offered at 13/5 (3.60), while the draw can be backed at 12/5 (3.40).
There was something decidedly similar about both teams' midweek results, with both sides recording a goalless draw to end a run of three straight defeats, and given the circumstances surrounding Sunday's fixture it is likely to be a close contest at La Rosaleda.
Under 2.5 goals, therefore, appeals greatly and is offered at a generous-looking 10/11 (1.91).
Malaga have failed to score in any of their last four league games, while Betis have managed just a solitary goal in their last three outings.
It has not helped the Verdiblancos that their top scorer from last season, Ruben Castro, has been sidelined with injury, while Malaga's top scorer, Mounir El Hamdaoui, has three goals, all scored in the same game in mid September.
Neither team can therefore claim to be prolific. This bet has paid out 11 times in matches involving these two sides this season and with both teams nervous, devoid of confidence and lacking a goal threat, a low-scoring enncouter looks extremely probable.
|Under 2.5 goals at 10/11 (1.91) for a 2pt stake with William Hill
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