La Albirroja have picked up just 12 points from 15 games in South America’s eight-nation group and are slight outsiders at 9/5 (2.80) with William Hill to collect all three point for just the fourth time tonight.
Jose Pekerman’s men, on the other hand, are celebrating reaching the finals for the first time since 1998 following Friday’s dramatic 3-3 draw against Chile and are favourites at 8/5 (2.60) to continue the party by coming out on top in Asuncion.
There have been no draws in any of the last eight encounters between these opponents, but you can get odds of 21/10 (3.10) on them cancelling each other out on this occasion.
Having reached the World Cup for each of the last four tournaments, the hosts will be desperately disappointed not to be taking part in next summer’s main event in neighbouring Brazil, particularly having reached the Copa America final just prior to this qualification campaign.
Gerardo Martino’s resignation in the aftermath of that tournament proved a turning point in the nation’s fortunes, as first Francisco Arce and then Gerardo Pelusso failed to adequately replace the new Barcelona boss at the helm.
However, Victor Genes seems to have breathed some new life into the team since stepping up from the Under-21s, overseeing a creditable 3-3 friendly draw with Germany on debut before beating Bolivia 4-0 and recording a hard-fought 1-1 draw in Venezuela either side of a 5-2 defeat against runaway leaders Argentina.
Genes will now be desperate to give the long-suffering crowd something to cheer about to end the campaign, and 10 goals in four matches in charge suggest he will do so by sending the team out to attack.
Having seen Colombia ship three goals within half an hour on Friday, Paraguay will be confident of hitting the back of the net against a team with nothing left to play for, and odds of 10/11 (1.91) offer excellent value on both sides hitting the back of the net with the pressure off.
That bet would have paid out in five of the hosts’ last six matches, and Los Cafeteros’ record of just one clean sheet in their last six away games suggests it should be more than safe here.
|Both teams to score for a 1pt stake at 10/11 (1.91) with William Hill
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Al Hain-Cole is an experienced tipster and avid follower of European football. He specialises in accumulators and if you would like to read more from Al you can follow him on Twitter here.
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