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After some big-priced winners in the last round of World Cup qualifiers, Phil Kitromilides is backing the home side to lead against Oranje at either half-time or the final whistle

Three wins in a row have put Turkey in pole position to clinch second place in Group D ahead of Romania and another victory against runaway leaders Netherlands would all but guarantee their spot in the play offs.

It will not however be easy for Fatih Terim's side against a rampant Oranje side, who qualified months ago but still turned on the style against Hungary on Friday night to thrash them 8-1.

Even with nothing for which to play, the Dutch remain imposing opposition and Paddy Power price an away win in Istanbul at 7/4 (2.75). Turkey, meanwhile, are offered at 11/8 (2.38) with the draw available at 13/5 (3.60).

While it is difficult to oppose the Dutch, Turkey have been hitting some form of their own, with those aforementioned three succesive wins seeing them net nine goals without conceding.

This is a game they need to win which will be played in a cauldron-like atmosphere, against a talented but somewhat unmotivated side.

Turkey to be ahead at half-time or full-time is offered at 10/11 (1.91) and is worthy of some consideration. Burak Yilmaz has been in superb form netting in each of his last four international matches and generally leading the line like a striker of genuine calibre.

He is more than capable of causing the Dutch some problems, while it is also worth noting that Netherlands have conceded in three of their last four matches, including against Estonia and Hungary.

Turkey are infinitely more talented than either of those two countries and will be a tough prospect at home.

As a result backing the home side to lead at half-time or full-time is a bet wich has paid out in six of their last eight matches and looks to offer some value.

Turkey to lead at half time or full time at 10/11 (1.91) 1.5pt stake with Paddy Power

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Phil Kitromilides is a sports journalist and TV presenter in Madrid