Our Spanish expert explains why backing over 1.5 goals in the opening 45 minutes offers punters the best valueSpain's trip to Finland this evening sees the world champions take on a side who achieved one of the biggest shocks in recent years against them back in March.
Spain do not draw many matches, and their 1-1 against Finland was only their fifth stalemate in 27 fixtures, with those other results coming against the footballing powers of Italy, France and Portugal.
It is fair to say then that Finland somewhat surprised la Roja by claiming a point in their last meeting and BetVictor price another draw at 11/2 (6.50). An unlikely Helsinki home win is offered at 14/1 (15.00) with a victory for Vicente del Bosque's men available at 2/5 (1.40).
Yet there should be no repeat of March's enormous upset, with Spain focused on picking up three points to consolidate first place in the group.
With la Roja massive favourites, it is not easy to find much value in the market, but the price of 13/8 (2.63) for over 1.5 goals in the first half is well worthy of consideration.
This is often a go-to bet in La Liga for punters wanting to back either Real Madrid or Barcelona against weaker opponents and usually the price is smaller in domestic competition.
However the Spanish national team is as superior to Finland as Madrid or Barca are to a mid-table La Liga side, if not more, meaning that the price of 13/8 (2.63) offers some serious value.
|Over 1.5 goals first half at 13/8 (2.63) 0.5pts with BetVictor
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Phil Kitromilides is a sports journalist and TV Presenter in Madrid