After drama in the capital on Tuesday night, our man in Spain, Phil Kitromilides, believes that the price of 10/11 for a Barcelona victory is worthy of investmentWhile the nature of the defeat suffered by Barcelona at the Allianz Arena in the first leg sent shockwaves around the footballing world, those who have followed Barca closely this season may not have been so surprised to see them concede four goals to one of the most dynamic sides of recent years.
The Catalans have had problems in defense this season, with questions over form and fitness being asked at one stage or another about all their first-choice defenders.
Thankfully for them, they have more often than not been able to score their way out of trouble and Lionel Messi's unrelenting ability to score goals is a large part of why they are on the verge of being crowned Spanish champions.
Barring the greatest comeback in the history of the tournament, though, Barca though are heading out of the Champions League, yet that should not deter punters from investing in the price of 10/11 (1.91) offered by Paddy Power for them to win the match on Wednesday evening.
Bayern, for their part, are offered at 14/5 (3.75) with the draw available at the same price, yet the wise money should go on a home win.
Barca are unbeaten at Camp Nou in their last 22 Champions League matches, winning 17 of those encounters.
They know they need a huge performance to have any chance of even thinking about a comeback and, if they get the start they did in the round of 16, when they beat AC Milan 4-0, the home fans might just start to believe.
Bayern, for their part, know that they can lose pretty heavily and still advance and we saw earlier in the tournament how they took their foot of the gas against Arsenal in the second leg following a convincing first-leg victory.
Presumably the Bavarians have learned from that experience, yet nevertheless the price of 10/11 (1.91) for Barcelona to win a home match regardless of the situation or the opposition is simply too good to resist.
Central to any potential Barca victory will, of course, be Messi but, given his astonishing goalscoring record this season, the prices of his getting on the scoresheet are understandably small.
He is offered at 3/1 (4.00) to score first but a better value bet could well be to back him to score from outside the box at anytime at 5/1 (6.00).
|Barcelona to win at 10/11 (1.91) with Paddy Power
||Lionel Messi to score from outside the box at 5/1 (6.00) with Paddy Power|
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Phil Kitromilides is a football journalist and TV presenter in Madrid. You can also follow Phil on Twitter.