The betting market for the League One play-offs looks to be very tight but Willie Duncan believes that value can be found by backing the Robins to reach the second tierAfter the stunning drama served up in League One at the weekend, the play-offs begin in earnest on Friday night with Brentford, Swindon Town, Sheffield United and Yeovil Town set to do battle to secure the last remaining place in next season’s Championship.
Brentford suffered heartache at the weekend when Marcello Trotta's missed penalty was swiftly followed by a dramatic breakaway goal for Doncaster Rovers meant that the Bees missed out on an automatic promotion place in cruel fashion.
Uwe Rosler's men, though, must lift themselves if they are to stand any chance of competing in English football's second tier next season and the Bees are rated as a 5/2 (3.50) shot with BetVictor to shrug off Saturday's disappointment by winning the play-offs and securing their place in next season's Championship.
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|Odds from BetVictor
Instead, that honour is bestowed on Sheffield United, who finished the season in fifth place, four points adrift of third-placed Brentford and eight points short of AFC Bournemouth, who claimed the runners-up spot.
A poor end to the season that saw the Blades collect just five points from their last six fixtures proved costly but they are available at 9/4 (3.25) with BetVictor to be promoted.
The Blades will be guided through the play-offs by caretaker manager Chris Morgan following Danny Wilson's departure from Bramall Lane in April and it would represent a significant feather in the 35-year-old rookie manager's cap should he guide Sheffield United to success.
Swindon Town are chalked up as an 11/4 (3.75) chance with BetVictor to win the play-offs and the Robins, who have lost just one of their last 13 matches on home turf, will be looking to get their campaign off to a flying start against Rosler's Brentford.
Despite finishing fourth in League One, Yeovil Town are considered to be the outsiders of the four teams vying for a coveted Championship place.
The Glovers are available at 7/2 (4.50) with BetVictor to secure promotion via the play-offs – a price which is sure to be slashed should Gary Johnson's men obtain a positive result at Bramall Lane on Friday night.
With just five points separating the four clubs over the course of a 46-match campaign, the betting heat is exceptionally tight.
However, there may be value in backing free-scoring Swindon Town at a chunky 11/4 (3.75) with BetVictor to heap more misery on Brentford in the semi-finals before securing their place in next season’s Championship with victory on May 19 at Wembley Stadium.
Swindon boast the most impressive defensive record in League One throughout the campaign, while only Bournemouth have managed more goals than the Robins this term.
With that in mind, the 11/4 (3.75) quote from BetVictor for Swindon to be promoted is the value play in this market.
|Swindon Town to be promoted from League One at 11/4 (3.75) with BetVictor
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Willie Duncan is a freelance sports journalist. Willie, from Edinburgh, has covered Scottish football for over 10 years and he specialises in football betting markets from across Europe. You can also follow Willie on Twitter