Catania - AC Milan Betting Preview: Why backing the home side offers genuine value

Fresh from a 9/2 (5.50) winner in Serie A earlier this week, Phil Kitromilides is backing Milan's poor away form to continue in Sicily on Friday night
After their rather fortuitous 1-0 win over leaders Juventus at the weekend, Milan make the journey to Sicily to take on a Catania side who have been in imperious form on the island.

William Hill make Massimo Allegri's side the favourites at 27/20 (2.35) with Catania offered at an extremely tempting 2/1 (3.00). A draw is offered at 9/4 (3.25) by the same firm.

What makes the price for the Sicilians especially attractive is the form they have been in at at Stadio Angelo Massimino, where this season they have won five of their seven matches, with their only defeat coming at the hands of leaders Juve in a tight 1-0 loss last month.

The Rossazzuri have enjoyed decent home results over the likes of Lazio and Napoli, beating the former 4-0 and holding the latter to a 0-0 draw.

These statistics may be reason enough to back a home win on Friday evening at 2/1 (3.00), but when you consider Milan's away form this season, the argument for investing in Catania becomes even more compelling. The visiting side are without a win in any of their last five games away from San Siro.

Their last trip to Sicily four weeks ago saw them claw back a 2-2 draw against Palermo having trailed 2-0 for the majority of the game.

The Rossoneri have also failed to keep a clean sheet in any away match in Serie A this season, and their defensive frailties leave them potentially exposed to the ingenuity of Catania's Argenitine infused forward line.

Braver punters will take on the 2/1 (3.00) for a home win with gusto, but for the more cautious the price of 11/10 (2.10) for Catania Draw No Bet, looks to be unmissable for all the aforementioned reasons and still offers substantial returns.

Catania (Draw No Bet) at 11/10 (2.10) with William Hill
Catania to win at 2/1 (3.00) with William Hill

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Phil Kitromilides is a sports broadcaster working on radio and TV in London and Madrid. You can also follow Phil on Twitter.