JD's Betting Blog: Why less is more in football betting plus weekend tips

With many nations in friendly action in midweek JD explains why a more strategic, disciplined approach to betting can pay dividends in the long run
This week has been dominated by international football. I had very limited involvement in it myself and as a rule, punters should thread carefully with friendly matches. They should not be entirely dismissed though as there can be isolated opportunities.

You should look out for mass withdrawals from squads which weaken a team and look out for managers and nations that tend to take them seriously. Generally, there has to be a very compelling reason for you to get involved in non-competitive matches.

Why less is more

If you ask people who work in the betting industry, they will tell you the most successful punters are the ones who bet less often. They tend to be strategic and disciplined in their approach when identifying and analysing where the value is.

They will not bet just for the sake of it and will only take a position when they identify a clear opportunity.

It pays to take that approach as excessive speculation increases the chances of losing - something we all want to avoid.

The other side to the coin is try not to be too cautious in your approach and when you see a clear opportunity, you must be decisive and move for it. Getting the balance right is key to profitable betting.

Weekend Tips

Looking ahead to the weekend, goals usually flow in the north London derby between Arsenal and Tottenham. Both teams to score can be backed at 4/7 (1.57) and it should be combined with high flying West Brom simply to find the net at home to Chelsea.

This team goals combination pays 11/10 (2.10) with Bet365. In Italy, Napoli host AC Milan and should be backed to score over 1.5 goals at 5/6 (1.83) with Bet365. Milan are not the force they once were and should be opposed.

Selection One
Selection Two
Both Teams to Score (Arsenal v Spurs) and Chelsea Clean Sheet "No" at 11/10 (2.10) with Bet365
Over 1.5 Napoli team goals at 5/6 (1.83) with Bet365

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