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Our Spanish expert Phil Kitromilides believes backing over 1.5 goals in the opening 45 minutes will prove a profitable investment on Saturday evening

Barcelona will be extremely confident of extending their 100 per cent start to the new season, against a Granada side yet to win. The Andalusians were extremely poor on the road in the previous campaign and have lost nine of their last 11 away matches.

The Catalans' strength at home is of course well documented, with April's defeat to Real Madrid the only time in the last 15 league matches they have failed to win at the Camp Nou.

Given the statistics then it is perhaps unsurprising to find Barca priced at 1/20 (1.05) by Bet365 to claim a win, while Granada are offered at 33/1 (34.00).

With such an apparent mismatch it is fairly difficult to find real value, although the price of 4/5 (1.80) for Lionel Messi to continue his seemingly unstoppable goalscoring form by scoring two or more, could appeal.

In games like these, however, experienced Spanish punters often opt to back over 1.5 goals in the first half and with this available at 4/6 (1.67) it looks like the best chance to make some profit in what is likely to be an extremely one-sided encounter.

Last season this bet paid out on 13 occasions in league games at the Camp Nou, and with Granada's defence frail and Barca having scored seven goals in their last two games, it looks a shrewd investment.

For a value bet back Barca to score over 4.5 goals at 9/4 (3.25). This bet paid out on eight occasions for the Catalans last season, as well as paying out in their first home match of this campaign.

BET
OF THE
DAY
BEST BET
VALUE BET
Over 1.5 goals first half at 4/6 (1.67) with Bet365
Barcelona to score over 4.5 goals at 9/4 (3.25) with Bet365

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Phil Kitromilides is a sports broadcaster working on radio and TV in London and Madrid. You can also follow Phil on Twitter.


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