With Osasuna one of the trickiest away matches in the division, our Spanish expert Phil Kitromilides believes fewer than four goals will be scored on SundayThe Primera Division is won and lost in grounds like Osasuna's Reyno de Navarra. Compact, intimidating and in winter, bitterly cold. It is arguably the toughest away trip for any side in the Spanish top flight, other than a visit to the big two of course.
That one of those big two are the visitors this evening makes little difference as last season, Osasuna defeated Barca 3-2 and Panbet price another home win at 14/1 (15.00).
Those odds may seem a little generous given the fact that in their last six visits to Osasuna in the league, Barcelona have won just twice. The Catalans are offered at 11/50 (1.22) to improve their record in Pamplona with a win, while the draw can be backed at 6/1 (7.00).
Last season it was arguably Barcelona's away form that cost them the defence of their league title, with the Blaugrana managing just 11 away wins compared to eventual champions Real Madrid's 16.
This is a match of vital importance, and is something of a baptism of fire for new boss Tito Vilanova in his first away game in charge of Barca.
Naturally if the Catalans have any pretensions of regaining the league title they will have to win, but expect it to be a tight game.
The price of 18/25 (1.72) on under 3.5 goals looks to hold considerable value, and has paid out in eight of the last 11 league meetings between these two sides.
Follow this up with a value bet on under 0.5 goals in the first half at 59/20 (3.95), which looks a solid selection given that Barca have only scored one first half goal in their last four away games against Osasuna
|Under 3.5 goals at 18/25 (1.72) with Panbet
||Under 0.5 goals first half at 59/20 (3.95) with Panbet|
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Phil Kitromilides is a sports broadcaster working on radio and TV in London and Madrid. You can also follow Phil on Twitter.