Phil Kitromilides is in red hot form, with four winning selections in the last four days and he's backing at least three goals to be scored this evening at the HawthornsLooking back through the history of English football, one can clearly see that this fixture between these two Midlands rivals has a long and proud tradition.
Despite being separated by a division, this should be a close contest, with Bet365 pricing Championship outfit Forest at 7/4 (2.75) for the win, while their Premier League opposition can be backed at 5/4 (2.25).
The draw is also offered at 23/10 (3.30) but given that the last (competitive) draw between these two sides came 12 years ago, with the nine subsequent matches failing to provide a stalemate, it does not look like an attractive option.
Analysing those last nine matches, there is no discernible advantage for either side with five wins for West Brom and four for Forest.
As mentioned previously, they may be currently plying their respective trades in different divisions but this match should be a close one.
Attention then turns to the goals market, and the price of 33/40 (1.82) for over 2.5 goals to be scored looks extremely tempting.
All three of Forest's pre season friendlies have comfortably seen three goals or more, while five goals were scored in West Brom's last away friendly. Nottingham Forest's recent takeover means their squad has seen a lot of changes recently and defensively they might not be as solid at the back as they would want to be with the Championship season just a week away.
If we are expecting goals, but also a keenly contested match then a value bet on a half time score of 1-1 at 6/1 (7.00) seems like a logical selection.
This would still see punters well placed to win on the initial investment of over 2.5 goals in total, and given the size of the odds, a small investment could provide a seriously healthy profit.
|Over 2.5 goals at 33/40 (1.83) with Bet365
||Half time score 1-1 at 6/1 (7.00) with Bet365|
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Phil Kitromilides is a sports broadcaster working on radio and TV in London and Madrid. You can also follow Phil on Twitter.