thumbnail Hello,

The young Japanese midfielder has been Sir Alex Ferguson's headline signing of the summer, but how many chances will the former Dortmund man be given next season?

Shinji Kagawa is Manchester United’s biggest signing of the transfer window so far and with Sir Alex Ferguson on record as saying that there could be just one more player coming in, it looks set to stay that way.

Kagawa comes with an impressive reputation after two successful seasons with Borussia Dortmund in the Bundesliga, in which the Japan international helped the German side to the league title on both occasions.

The question now is what kind of impact the 23-year-old can have in his debut season at Old Trafford.

William Hill have a specials market which allows you to predict the number of Premier League starts Kagawa will enjoy in the forthcoming campaign, as well as a market on his goal count in the same period.

The attacking midfielder was virtually injury-free last season, starting in 29 of Dortmund’s 34 league games and Ferguson has already said Kagawa “can start the first league game quite easily”.

The Premier League season is four games longer but Kagawa is a chunky 11/2 (6.50) to make 26 or more league starts in 2012-13.

That’s a reflection of the fact that Rio Ferdinand, Jonny Evans, Michael Carrick and Wayne Rooney were the only United outfield players to reach that mark last season.

Ferguson is sure to retain his rotation policy – particularly in regard to attacking players and with the Red Devils competing in various competitions.

Kagawa Total Premier League Goals
2012/2013 season
Under 4 5/2
4-7 5/2
8-11 7/2
12-15 6/1
16 and over 14/1
As such, the 21 to 25 appearances bracket could be the key one. Nani, Danny Welbeck and Antonio Valencia fell into that category last season. Kagawa is 3/1 (4.0) with William Hill to make 21 to 25 league starts.

The shortest odds scenarios are for Kagawa to start 16 to 20 games – as Ashley Young did in his first United season – or 11 to 15 as Ryan Giggs and Paul Scholes did last time out.

Each of those options are available at 9/4 (2.80) with William Hill.

Kagawa scored 13 Bundesliga goals in his final season with Borussia Dortmund and he is available at 6/1 (7.0) to notch between 12 and 15 goals in his first Premier League campaign.

For those who believe the Japanese international will adapt well to the English game, 16 league goals and over may be of interest at 14/1 (15.0).

The worst case scenario as far as Kagawa is concerned is that the youngster makes 10 or fewer Premier League starts in the coming season.

That would surely require him to have an injury-hit season, although that is something that can never be ruled out – particularly for a player required to adapt to the frenzied world of English football.

Kagawa is 3/1 (4.0) with William Hill to make no more than 10 Premier League starts but there certainly appears to be more value in the larger brackets, particularly the 26 or more level at 11/2 (6.50).

Tip: Shinji Kagawa to start more than 26 games at 11/2 (6.50) with William Hill

Sign up with William Hill for a £25 free bet

Adam Bate is a professional freelance journalist who specialises in football and betting. He is editor of GhostGoal which can be found here - you can also follow Adam on

Follow GoalBetting on