With the home side struggling to keep clean sheets, and Norrkoping involved in some high scoring games recently, Phil Kitromilides is predicting at least three goals tonight
Djurgarden despite languishing towards the bottom of the Allsvenkan standings, although they have been difficult to beat at home and are unbeaten in their last five matches.
A home victory can be backed at 33/40 (1.82) with Sportingbet, while Norrkoping are available at 16/5 (4.20) and the draw trades at 5/2 (3.50).
However, taking into account recent results, the goals market may well be the most worthy of consideration with over 2.5 goals available at a tempting 4/5 (1.80).
Norrkoping have been involved in some particularly high scoring matches, especially away form home with their last three encounters on the road seeing 15 goals scored.
Indeed only one of their last seven matches has failed to go over 2.5 goals and currently the side is averaging 3.5 goals a game.
The statistics for Djurgarden are similarly encouraging, with the side from Stockholm conceding in every one of their last six home matches, and averaging 2.71 goals per match. Between them, these two sides have had 14 matches this season with at least three goals scored and this looks like an excellent bet especially given the odds offered.
For a value bet, the odds of 23/10 (3.30) for Norrkoping to score over 1.5 goals in the game look appealing. With this bet paying out in five of their last seven matches, coupled with the fact that Djurgarden's leaky defence has failed to keep a clean sheet in any of the last 11 matches, there could be some healthy profit to be had.
|Over 2.5 goals at 4/5 (1.80) with Sportingbet
||Norrkoping to score over 1.5 goals at 23/10 (3.30) with Sportingbet|
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Phil Kitromilides is a sports broadcaster working on radio and TV in London and Madrid. You can also follow Phil on Twitter.