Laurent Blanc's side need to finish the job in Group D when they face Sweden in Kiev. Adam Bate is expecting an open game as the Swedes try to salvage something from Euro 2012France take on already-eliminated Sweden in Kiev on Tuesday in a strong position. Laurent Blanc’s men know they’ll qualify for the quarter-finals even with a one-goal defeat.
But don’t expect an entirely cautious effort from France. They’ll want to win the group and thus avoid a perilous last-eight tie against world and European champions Spain.
France are 8/13 (1.62) favourites with Paddy Power to get the three points here. The draw that would also be enough to qualify is 14/5 (3.8).
Sweden are playing for pride and that’s a situation that will be a huge disappointment for Erik Hamren’s men at this stage of the tournament.
They came into Euro 2012 in great form but have proven to be shambolic defensively and shown a particular weakness when it comes to the fundamentals of stopping goals from crosses.
Midfielder Anders Svensson has admitted he doesn’t care about producing a performance here for the sake of the other teams in the group – but they do want to do something for themselves and the fans.
You can back Sweden to get three unlikely points at 5/1 (6.0) with Paddy Power.
In the goalscorers market, Karim Benzema is the bookies favourite to open the scoring despite a quiet tournament so far.
The Real Madrid forward has not been entirely responsible for that – he’s received little support in numbers from his team-mates.
Benzema is 4/1 (5.0) with Paddy Power to score first and with more than 30 goals to his name last season he has talent to make this ‘his’ Euros.
It won’t be Zlatan Ibrahimovic’s. The Swedish forward is on his way home after this game, and yet he has impressed in a No. 10 role.
Ibrahimovic is 8/1 (9.0) to sign off with the first goal in this one.
Indeed, you have to fancy Sweden to score – they have done so in both their defeats.
As a result, backing over 2.5 goals at 8/11 (1.73) with Paddy Power is the best bet here.
The value bet is to back both teams to score here. It may seem short odds but it’s an excellent price for several reasons.
Each of Sweden’s last five games have seen both teams score and that was also the case in 14 of the first 20 games at this tournament. Back both teams to score in this one at 4/5 (1.80) with Paddy Power.
Sometimes it's best to opt for solid bets rather than speculative long shots, this is one of those occasions as both these bets coming in would leave punters with a healthy profit.
|Over 2.5 goals at 8/11 (1.73) with Paddy Power
||Both teams to score at 4/5 (1.80) with Paddy Power
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Adam Bate is a professional freelance journalist who specialises in football and betting. He is editor of GhostGoal which can be found here - you can also follow Adam on Twitter