There is somewhat of a sense of deja vu around the final round of matches in Group C at Euro 2012. Italy sit in third position in the group ahead of their match against Republic of Ireland, who have already been eliminated from the tournament following two losses.
Croatia and Spain meet in the other match, the result of which will go a long way to deciding which teams progress to the quarter-finals.
Italy are heavy favourites at 1/3 (1.33) to win their game but a victory for the Azzurri may not be enough for them to qualify.
Concerns have arisen over the possibility of Croatia's clash against Spain finishing in a high-scoring draw, such as 2-2, which would see both teams progress and knocking out Italy, regardless of their result against Ireland.
In Euro 2004 the Azzurri were eliminated in almost identical circumstances as a 2-2 draw between Denmark and Sweden in the final group match saw the Italians bow out despite beating Bulgaria.
Odds on a 2-2 draw differ massively between different bookmakers, with 8/1 (9.0) available at Bet365 and 4/1 (5.0) on offer at William Hill.
Those prices are in stark contrast to the market of an average match at the tournament finishing 2-2, though. France, who sit top of Group D ahead of their final group game, face Sweden, who, like Ireland, have already been knocked out, the 2-2 correct scoreline is available at 16/1 (17.0) with Bet365.
While all parties have done everything they can to play down the possibility of the game finishing in a 2-2 stalemate, the odds clearly suggest that there is a certain level of caution being exercised throughout the industry ahead of this crucial match.
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Jim Knight is Betting Editor at Goal.com and has been tipping football games since he was old enough to place a bet. He is a Leicester City fan, writer and member of the We Are Going Up Podcast
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