After a humbling 5-3 defeat against Switzerland last weekend, Adam Bate is expecting the Germans pile up the goals and inflict a heavy defeat on Israel in Leipzig
A home defeat to France in February could be brushed off as a setback, but a 5-3 loss against neighbours Switzerland was a crushing blow.
Joachim Low was without his Bayern Munich players for the Swiss match admittedly (rested following their Champions League final disappointment), but there was still quality throughout the line-up and it was a worrying display.
The hope for the hosts is that they will be stung by the defeat and, bolstered by the Bayern players, can gain a modicum of revenge with victory over Israel on Thursday. Germany are short-odds favourites at 1/5 (1.20) with Bet365.
The Swiss did at least have some form behind them but it is hard to see Israel causing the same problems. The only win in their last six came against minnows Malta.
That’s reflected in the price and you can get 14/1 (15.00) against Israel making it three defeats on the spin for Germany. The draw is available at 5/1 (6.00) with Bet365.
With little value in backing Germany for a straight win, it’s essential to look to the other markets.
Low’s side are still finding the net easily, and they can surely be expected to come out firing in front of their own fans. You can back over 2.5 goals at 4/11 (1.44).
But, for a slightly better price, it should pay to back Germany to seize control of this one early and take their recent frustrations out on this Israel side.
The best bet here is to back the 2010 World Cup semi-finalist to lead at the break and win the game at 8/15 (1.53) with Bet365. That’s certainly an excellent price given the gulf in class.
For the value bet, it’s a case of looking for a good price in the correct score market and that can sometimes be tricky.
However, Germany are prone to conceding and the 14/1 (15.00) for a 4-1 home win might be of interest to the long-shot seeking punter.
|Germany at HT/FT at 8/15 (1.53) with Bet365
||Germany to win 4-1 at 14/1 (15.00) with Bet365
Sign up with Bet365 for up to £200 in free bets
Adam Bate is a professional freelance journalist who specialises in football and betting. He is editor of GhostGoal which can be found here - you can also follow Adam on
Follow GoalBetting on