The Shrimpers have an excellent recent record at Roots Hall having won their last four matches, scoring 11 goals in the process without conceding. 188Bet price them at 17/20 (1.85) to claim a fifth successive win and the price looks extremely tempting.
Even more so when you consider Crewe's recent away record which has seen them win only two of their last nine matches on the road.
They are priced at 59/20 (3.95) to claim the win which would guarantee their place in the final, while the draw is offered at 9/4 (3.25).
Backing Southend should be the main bet for this match, with the team from the Essex coast finishing 11 points clear of Crewe in the League Two table.
Not only that, but they won both league matches this season against the Railwaymen home and away.
Given their impressive home record, and Crewe's lack of success on the road, a Southend win looks extremely likely and the price of 17/20 (1.85) is extremely backable. For a slightly higher priced value bet, take Southend -0.5 goals at 149/100 (2.49).
With the Shrimpers knowing they must win by two clear goals to guarantee progression expect them to approach the game in an attacking way, and given their recent goal scoring prowess at home, they should be able to record a victory by at least a couple of goals.
|Southend to win at 17/20 11/10 (1.85) with 188Bet
Southend -0.5 goals at 149/100 (42.49) with 188Bet
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Phil Kitromilides is a sports broadcaster working on radio and TV in London and Madrid, you can also follow Phil on Twitter