JD's Betting Blog: The Champions League, why backing underdogs is starting to become profitable and weekend tips

JD is back with more exclusive tips for the weekend's action for Goal.com readers. This week his selections come from the Premier League and the Bundesliga
It was another profitable week on the football markets. Some of our selections last week included both teams to score between Real Betis and Espanyol which delivered courtesy of a wonderful goal by Walter Pandiani in the dying seconds. It is one of the great pleasures of football betting when your bet lands for you at the death.

JD on the Champions League

The Champions League quarter-final first leg matches took place this week and after convincing wins for both Bayern Munich and Real Madrid they look set to meet in the semi-final stage.

It should be an enthralling and exciting encounter between these two heavyweights and the Bavarians will be fancied by many to contest the final in May on their home ground. Sportingbet go 17/10 (2.70) that Bayern Munich will reach the final and it is an attractive price.  

Any Mourinho prepared team is very difficult to beat over two legs and Real Madrid are a 2/5 (1.40) shout with Sportingbet to beat the German giants to a place in the final. AC Milan proved again that they are a difficult foe for Barcelona as they held the Catalan giants to a 0-0 draw at the San Siro.  

 portingbet have a variety of different markets involving the Champions League and for me the stand out bet is in the Name the Finalists market.  

If you subscribe to the general view that Barcelona and Real Madrid will ultimately battle it out in Munich in the final, you can get evens (2.0) on that happening and that bet is highly attractive.

Be wary of the underdog

We are at the stage of the season were we have to be particularly careful when opposing teams that really need the points to stay in their division. You will find that teams that have struggled all season will start to pick up a higher number of points and there will be plenty of surprises in matches.

Players coming to the end of their contracts and others that realise they could be playing in the division below on a reduced wage will start to play much better and results for their teams will improve. The good thing from a punters perspective is that you will still get big prices on them to win.

For example, Wigan Athletic were 11/1 (12.0) in places to beat Liverpool at Anfield last weekend and they delivered an excellent performance to win 2-1. You also have to be equally careful of backing teams that are in mid table and have enjoyed a decent season but have little to play for.

JD's weekend tips

Looking ahead to the weekend, I am going to oppose two teams that have played in midweek. Sunderland travel to Manchester City ,where the home side have been flawless this season and I like the evens (2.0) about over 2.5 home goals.

Sunderland boss Martin O' Neill likes to play pretty much the same team each week and they are bound to feel the effects of that at this stage of the season.

In Germany, Borussia Monchengladbach have been a revelation this season and sit in 4th place. They go to Hannover 96 on Sunday who have a testing trip to Atletico Madrid on Thursday in the Europa League. Borussia Monchengladbach can be backed at 5/6 (1.83) on a "draw no bet" basis to win this match with Sportingbet.

            Selection One
             Selection Two
Manchester City over 2.5 team goals (v Sunderland) at Evens (2.0) Borussia Monchengladbach "Draw no Bet" v Hannover 96 at 5/6 (1.83)

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