Though a dramatic win against Liverpool has changed the dynamic in the battle against the drop in the Premier League, Adam Bate thinks Mark Hughes' men are still up against itLast night’s stunning victory for QPR against Liverpool, in which they came back from two goals down with a quarter of an hour to play, was a game changer in the Premier League relegation battle.
While the bookmakers still do not seem convinced by QPR’s chances of survival – they remain odds-on to go down – it has crystallised the view that both Wigan and Wolves are doomed.
That’s understandable given Wolves’ situation at present. Their decision to replace Mick McCarthy with his assistant Terry Connor has yielded just one point from four games and they have conceded a staggering 12 goals without reply in their last three.
Wigan’s inability to take their chances also looks likely to cost them and a solitary home win this season points to relegation.
Their final game of the season will be against Wolves at the DW Stadium and threatens to be a dead rubber of the worst kind.
The current bottom two now have only each other for company on a miserable 22 points and their price has hit 1/7 (1.14) with Sportingbet if you want to back them for relegation.
The problem for QPR is that the fixture list is against them. Victory against Liverpool is one thing but Mark Hughes’ men must also play the entire top five in their remaining nine games. That’s why they are still 3/5 (1.6) to drop back into the Championship.
Bolton are a better-priced 9/10 (1.9) with Sportingbet despite being two points behind QPR and that owes much to their favourable run-in.
Owen Coyle’s team have already fulfilled their fixtures against the top five and will be confident of their chances against teams with little to play for.
The only other team at risk of being dragged into things are Steve Kean’s Blackburn.
They have been many people’s relegation pick for months but Kean appears to have galvanised things at Rovers and back-to-back wins have taken them five points clear of the drop zone. Blackburn are now 7/2 (4.5) to go down.
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Adam Bate is a professional freelance journalist who specialises in football and betting. He is editor of GhostGoal which can be found here - you can also follow Adam on Twitter