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Tipster Adam Bate is in red hot form after several big winners at the weekend, he can see the league leader recording a win to nil against strugglers and has a 9/2 value bet

It’s top versus bottom at the DW Stadium and that means plenty of punters will be thinking it’s just a matter of how many Manchester City can put past Wigan. That’s reflected in the betting with City available at 4/9 (1.44) with Bet365 and Wigan at a whopping 7/1 (8.0).

However, anyone hoping for an upset might want to look at Wigan’s home record: Roberto Martinez’s side have won just once in front of their own fans all season, a statistic that makes grim reading for the Latics.

Admittedly, City appear to be stuttering themselves with three defeats in their last four and the away form has been a weakness having won just half of their 10 league games on the road. Yaya Toure (on Africa Cup of Nations duty) is a big miss for Roberto Mancini’s team and with David Silva not 100 per cent fit the home supporters may have cause for optimism.
 
But if there’s a place for City to rediscover the winning touch it’s surely Wigan. The hosts have the worst goal difference in the league and have only kept three clean sheets in the Premier League this season.

An FA Cup defeat at the hands of League Two Swindon Town spoke volumes about the current morale and performance level of the side.

Regular readers of the column will be aware that we’ve had joy backing City to win to nil in the past and that bet again looks appealing at 7/5 (2.4) with Bet365.

For a value bet this would be a good game to back Sergio Aguero to score two goals or more at 9/2 (5.5). The Argentine forward has bagged a brace or better in four Premier League games this season from only 19 appearances. That would suggest – on average - the odds are just about right but Manchester City will be hoping the short trip to Wigan will prove easier pickings for their forward line.

Bet of the Day – Manchester City to win to nil 7/5 (2.4) with Bet365

Value Bet – Sergio Aguero to score two goals or more at 9/2 (5.5) with Bet365

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Adam Bate is a professional freelance journalist who specialises in football and betting. He is editor of GhostGoal which can be found here - you can also follow Adam on

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