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After a correct tip in the first League Cup semi-final between Crystal Palace and Cardiff, Adam Bate doesn't see many goals between the two Premier League big boys on Wednesday

Manchester City lost their unbeaten home record against rivals Manchester United on Sunday as they were dumped out the FA Cup. And so, on Wednesday their focus will turn to bouncing back to beat Liverpool in the first leg of their League Cup semi-final.

City are the favourites in this one at 9/10 (1.9) and despite question marks over David Silva's fitness after sustaining an ankle injury, the Citizens' line-p will be full of talent. City should look to force the issue in the first game as Roberto Mancini will want to take a lead to Anfield for the return leg. A repeat of the recent 3-0 win over Liverpool would do the trick and is available at 16/1 (17.0) with Sportingbet.

Kenny Dalglish’s side should fare better than that here, though, because with the second leg to come they will want to hang on in there even if City take the lead, they are long shots to win the game at 11/4 (3.75). With every incentive for Liverpool to keep things tight at the Etihad, the price for under 2.5 goals of 19/20 (1.95) with Sportingbet looks a good one and is worth backing.

As with Tuesday's semi-final between Crystal Palace and Cardiff, which ended 1-0 to the hosts, the first leg can often be a tight match with few goals between the two teams.

Indeed, Dalglish will be desperate to bring a trophy to Anfield in order to prove the team are making progress. This is a trophy he lifted four times in a row as a player and while keeping Mancini’s men off the scoresheet could prove too tough a task on Wednesday, it wouldn’t be too much of a surprise if Liverpool delivered a spirited display to draw this one goal apiece.

Bet of the Day: Under 2.5 goals at 19/20 (1.95) with Sportingbet

Value Bet: 1-1 at 11/2 (6.5) with Sportingbet

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Adam Bate is a professional freelance journalist who specialises in football and betting. He is editor of GhostGoal which can be found here - you can also follow Adam on