It would be the shock of the season if Crystal Palace were to win at Man City on Saturday, but the specials and correct scorer markets give more value to betting on the Blues.
Another win on Saturday at home will see Manchester City go temporarily back on top of the table, and with lowly Crystal Palace rolling into town a victory should be a lot less difficult than it was against Liverpool on Thursday.
In that game, Man City extended its unbeaten streak to seven games and boosted its home record to a perfect 9-0.
At 1.12, there is practically no value for taking City in the outright market and even in the halftime/fulltime result the team pays out a paltry 1.30. Though Palace has only lost by three goals twice this year, I would recommend the 1.91 available for the City victory with a -2 goal handicap given that the home side boasts a ridiculous +31 goal difference at home, for an absurd average margin of victory of 3.44 goals per game at Etihad Stadium.
City offers half-decent odds in being the only team to score in the match at 1.73, as Palace has scored a dismal five goals on the road in nine matches; the second lowest road production in the league.
The draw is offered at a robust 8.00 while Palace is offering enormous odds of 23.00 to pull off the big upset. Though the visitors did win away to Aston Villa only a couple of days ago, they will be extremely hard pressed to pull one off on Saturday.
William Hill has a betting special that pays out 3.00 if Yaya Toure scores combined with the City win. Toure is tied for fourth in the league with nine goals this season and has worked well with Alvaro Negredo, while team-leading goal scorer Sergio Aguero is out with injury.
Toure and and Negredo (seven goals) are currently listed at odds of 2.25 and 1.57 to score at any point in the match regardless of the outcome. Clearly, the African midfielder offers much better value with his goal-every-other-game performances.