Hamburg travels to Wolfsburg and taking points on the road won't be easy against a team that has generated 15 of a possible 18 points at home. Take the hosts and expect goals.
Wolfsburg is currently fifth in the Bundesliga with a record of 7-5-1 on the campaign. But at the Volkswagen Arena the club has been very strong with a record of 5-1-0 so far, conceding less than a goal per game. Wolfsburg is also unbeaten in its last five matches, including four wins -- one of which was a big 2-1 win over Dortmund two weeks ago
I like the hosts today at 1.83 over at William Hill, and the 3.50 for the win combined with a Ivica Olic goal against his old club also gives good value. He has averaged a goal every other game this season.
The halftime/fulltime for the hosts also feels good at 2.75, especially considering that Hamburg is without former Dutch international Rafael van der Vaart, the heart and soul and soul of Hamburg's attack.
A draw selection is listed at 3.50, while the visitors are being offered at 4.33. They haven't been awful on the road with a mark of 2-3-2 so far, and 21 year-old striker Pierre-Michel Lasogga has opened many eyes in Germany this year with his performances, scoring eight goals so far. Lasogga is in a four-way tie for second in the Bundesliga goal scoring chart.
What I really like here is the over total goals market. Hamburg away games have produced the most goals in the entire league, with an astounding 35 being scored in seven games. That is an average of five goals per away contest. Additionally, Hamburg is tied for the most goals conceded in Germany, with 30 allowed from 13 matches.
The over 2.5 is at 1.60 but goes up to 2.62 for the over 3.5.