Matchday Five of the UEFA Champions League has eight matches on tap Tuesday and Dortmund is favoured heavily against Napoli, despite losing 3-0 on the weekend to Bayern Munich.
Borussia Dortmund is going through some very tough times right now. Not only did the team lose 3-0 at home this past Saturday to bitter rival Bayern Munich, but it is also now without top defenders Mats Hummels and Marcel Schmelzer due to injuries. These injuries are the latest devastating blows to the backline of last year's tournament runner-up, as it's also without Neven Subotic for the season.
Still, the home side is the considerable favourite to win Tuesday, with William Hill posting BVB at 1.55 for the outright win. The club is 2-2 in the group stage so far, winning and losing one at home. Dortmund has lost three straignt in all competitions, including the loss to Arsenal on matchday four at the Westfalenstadion.
I prefer the draw result at a robust offering of 4.00, considering Napoli's quality and the fact that a win for the Italians would see them through to the knockout stage. Those are solid odds.
The Napoli double chance is very much worth considering at 2.50. Should the visitors come up with a win or tie that bet would crack, and with Dortmund losing two straight at home, the hosts very well could be ripe for the picking today.
If you are looking for more value and feel Napoli will emerge on top, the Italians are listed at a tasty 6.00 in the 1x2 market. They are 3-1 so far in the group stage, but they've lost two straight against Juventus and Parma in domestic play, which is why I prefer the draw or double chance picks.
Take a look at the first goal scorer pick with Robert Lewandowski at 4.33 and consider hedging it with Gonzalo Higuain (8.00), as both strikers have three goals each in the competition.