The one-game playoff in the first round of the Eastern Conference goes down Thursday night at BBVA Compass Stadium in Houston as the Dynamo face a struggling Montreal side.
At the beginning of the season, the Montreal Impact looked like MLS Cup contenders. After last week's abysmal season finale in Toronto that saw them only clinch a playoff spot after Chicago lost to New York, the Impact appear to be running on fumes coming into tonight's winner-take-all match against Houston.
The visitors come in today at odds of 5.00 for the outright win over at William Hill, while the double chance (win or tie) is at 2.05. They have been held scoreless in five of their last seven contests, despite having 20-goal scorer Marco Di Vaio in the lineup. They went 4-9-4 (W-L-T) ont he road during the season.
The home pick today is at 1.73 in the 1x2, and even the -1 at 3.00. Though Houston lost by a combined 7-0 score in the two games at Stade Saputo earlier this year, the Dynamo recently beat the Impact at home 1-0 three-and-half weeks ago.
The draw (which is the end of 90 minutes) is being offered at 3.60 - which I like - and the double draw takes that up by about $2.00 to 5.50. BBVA Compass Stadium (and Robertson Stadium before it) used to be an ironclad fortress for the Dynamo, but this year they did drop four of their 17 home games (9-4-4), and as a result I can see this game going to extra time.
I prefer the under 2.5 total goals at 1.73 given Montreal's inability to find the back of the net over the last month, which has seen the Impact only generate two goals from five matches.