The opening match of the Confederations Cup is just a few hours away and Brazil are heavily favored by bookies to beat Japan. The over/under and handicap markets is where to look.
But the fact is they are playing against Brazil on their home soil. Stay away from the large 11.00 that William Hill is listing for the Samurai Blue to win as they have never beaten Brazil in nine all-time matches with them. They most recently played in a friendly in Poland in which Brazil laid down a convincing 4-0 beating. Take a look at handicap options instead.
The tie result with a Brazil -2 to start is listed at 4.20. For the Brazilians to win with that same two goal deficit it's 3.25. Brazil have beaten Japan by three or more goals in 55% of their matches and with Luis Scolari demanding a strong performance out of the gate from his squad, this could very well crack.
The outright draw is at 5.00 and although Japan are no pushover side, it is hard to envision them taking a point from this game.
The Brazil win in the 1x2 is only at 1.30 which is too low to take. Though the 2.50 offered for Neymar to score combined with a Brazil win is not a bad consideration given the young phenom's 20 goals in 33 games for the national side. With games against the more defensively sound Mexican and Italian squads coming up, this will be Neymar's best chance to produce. Not to mention that he scored twice against them back in the fall.
Naturally, the over/under listings offer suggests an expectation for a high scoring affair. The Over 2.5 is only at 1.60 while the Over 3.5 is up to 2.62.
I expect Brazil to dictate the pace early on and the 3.10 offered for a goal in the first 15 minutes or 3.40 offered from the 16th-30th minutes are decent bets outright or for hedging.