Argentina heads over to Quito to face Ecuador to try inch closer to a spot for Brazil 2014. But the Albiceleste aren't the best performers in high altitude.
Argentina sits atop the South American qualifying table in impressive fashion, with only one loss from its 12 matches. A win at Ecuador would see it move up to 28 points, which was what it generated in its entire 2010 qualifying campaign -- which had an extra two games.
Though Argentina has been a notorious underachiver when playing in high altitude, it has been dominant during this run and was able to beat Ecuador convincingly at home by a 4-0 score. The dynamic quartet of Higuain, Messi, Di Maria, and Aguero all scored in that match, but today sees Argentina as slight underdogs at 2.87 over at William Hill. If it was any other team in South America, it'd be a lot higher.
All three games that have been played in Ecuador between the two nations have resulted in a 2-0 result, once for Argentina back in 2001, while Ecuador have won the last two at home.
Considering the short time that the Argentines have to acclimatize - they played Friday at home - I don't expect them to deliver the win today.
The draw result is at 3.20, and is what panned out in their last game against Colombia. The draw at halftime could be good given Ecuador tends to pile it on at home in the second half. That is at 1.95.
Ecuador is third in the table with a 6-3-2 (W-L-T) record and has a goal differential of 13 for and two against when at home. The win for the home side is listed at 2.50, which is decent value. The draw/home result in the halftime/fulltime section is at 6.00 and could be the value bet of the match given that this has been the result in five of six Ecuadorian home games.
A 2-0 result for Ecuador here is at 12.00 and as mentioned above, that has been the result the last two times when these teams have met in Quito.