A struggling Hoffenheim squad travels to Hamburg on Friday evening where Frank Kramer will take the reigns for the first time to try and turn the club's season around.
However, they will be up against a Hamburg side that - although it is ninth in the table - could move into fifth position with another win at home. Hamburg has won two straight at Imtech Arena, including a convincing 3-1 win last week over fourth place Schalke.
I like the host's current form and though it still without its top star in Rafael van der Vaart for at least another month, the fact that six-goal scorer Heung-Min Son is back in the lineup should help up front. He is currently tied for eighth on the league scoring charts.
Hamburg is being issued at 2.03 over at Uwin.com. The same firm has the home side in the halftime/fulltime offering at 3.30. Knowing that Hoffenheim is going to come out very strong from the opening whistle, I prefer the draw/home result at 5.15 instead.
Frank Kramer's crew can be taken for the outright win at 3.60, while the draw result is currently sitting at 3.45.
The worry with the Hoffenheim win on the road is that it has conceded far more goals than every other team in the league with 36 (2.40 goals allowed per match) and also led the league in goals conceded while away with 17 in 7 matches.
Combine that with the fact that it hasn't won in its last five games - including four straight losses - and a Hamburg pick is hard to go against.
Also take a look at a Hamburg 1-0 or 2-0 victory which payout 4.30 and 9.00, respectively. Hamburg has scored only eight times in seven matches and without van der Vaart leading the attack, the team should not net more than two goals.
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