Betting round-up: Eyes on north London derby
15/11/2012 1:24:00 PM
The north London derby steals the headlines in the Premier League this weekend, while there are plenty of short-priced favourites elsewhere
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By PAUL GOUGH |
The north London derby between Arsenal and Tottenham takes centre stage in the English Premier League on Saturday, with punters again flocking to back a Gunners team that appears in decline after their costly home draw last week against Fulham.
The Gunners were odds-on favourites against Fulham, despite their recent disappointments in the Champions League, yet it was the west London club that snatched a draw when Australian goalkeeper Mark Schwarzer saved an injury-time penalty.
That point left Arsenal a distant eighth on the EPL table, a point behind great rivals Spurs in seventh and four points behind Everton in the race for the fourth, with the top three in Manchester United, Manchester City and Chelsea already looking secure in their positions.
That means the stakes can hardly be higher in Saturday's north London derby between the clubs that finished third [Arsenal[ and fourth [Spurs] last season.
However, as was also the case last week against ninth-placed Fulham, the betting does not reflect the evenness of Saturday's much-anticipated showdown.
The Gunners are the $1.97 favourites with Betfair, with Spurs paying $4.20 and the draw at $3.85.
In recent times, these two clubs have a history of high-scoring encounters - who could forget the 4-4 draw at the Emirates in 2008 or Arsenal's 5-4 win at White Hart Lane in 2004"
With that in mind, we think another high-scoring draw looks the way to go in this game, with a 2-2 draw great value in correct-score betting at $14.50 at Betfair, while a 3-3 draw is paying the incredible odds of $48.
 |
BET |
OF THE |
DAY |
| BEST BET |
VALUE BET |
| Arsenal and Tottenham to draw at $3.85 at Betfair |
Arsenal and Tottenham to draw 2-2 at $3.75 at Betfair |
Elsewhere on Saturday, it looks a day of short-priced favourites saluting.
However, third-placed Chelsea, without injured skipper John Terry, could struggle away to fifth-placed West Brom, where the draw looks great value at $3.75.
Meanwhile, a shaky Newcastle are poor value at $1.98 at home to Swansea at $4.30, in a game where the draw again looks the way to go at $3.70.
And while winless QPR should score their first win of the season at home to fellow relegation candidates Southampton, it would take a brave person to take the $1.94 on offer for a Rangers win, with the draw again looking the better value at $3.80.
*Note prices subject to change
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