Manchester United have hardly been a pillar of strength at the back, meaning there may be some value in the hosts at Sports Direct Arena
|By JAMES WILLOUGHBY
Newcastle United look outstanding value to defeat Manchester United in the English Premier League on Sunday [Monday morning Australian time].
In one of 10 weekend fixtures in the EPL, the clash at the Sports Direct Arena is appealing to punters with Newcastle at big odds to claim victory.
As usual, the value is with Betfair who have Alan Pardew's side $4.20 to win.
Although they are outsiders, here's why you should contemplate backing Newcastle.
Of their last 34 matches at home in all competitions, Newcastle have lost just four. They have won four of five at home this season, playing out a 1-1 draw with Aston Villa in the other fixture.
They beat Bordeaux 3-0 in the Europa League on Thursday in a terrific performance and have the Premier League's top scorer, Demba Ba [six goals], in good form.
|Over 2.5 goals in Newcastle United v Manchester United at $1.77 at Betfair
||Newcastle United to win v Manchester United at $4.20 at Betfair|
Fellow Senegalese forward Papiss Cisse - who scored 13 goals in 14 matches in the Premier League last season - has also found form recently, netting in two of his last three matches.
One of those encounters was a 2-1 League Cup defeat to Manchester United but both sides played second-string sides and Newcastle were far from disgraced.
Newcastle also beat Manchester United 3-0 in the last Premier League meeting between the two sides in January.
For $4.20, they are great value to defeat Sir Alex Ferguson's side, which has leaked goals this season.
While Robin van Persie and Wayne Rooney are doing the business up front, injuries to defenders Nemanja Vidic, Phil Jones, Chris Smalling and Jonny Evans have depleted the club's stocks at the back.
They have kept just two clean sheets in nine matches this season and look vulnerable, meaning they will have their hands full with Ba, Cisse, Hatem Ben Arfa and Yohan Cabaye.
If you think Newcastle can cause their opponents problems but are not game enough to take them to win, over 2.5 goals [$1.77 at Betfair] looks a smart option.
Twenty-two goals have been scored in Manchester United's last five league matches and in their past 13 encounters against Newcastle, three goals or more have been netted on 10 occasions.
Over 3.5 goals is $2.92 on Betfair while over 4.5 is $5.55 for the fixture that kicks off at 2am [AEST].
If you are looking for a short-priced favourite to throw in multi-bets or take outright, Chelsea [$1.24 at Betfair] should easily account for Norwich City at Stamford Bridge.
The Blues have been in terrific form lately and are scoring plenty of goals, making the over 4.5 goals market [$4 at Betfair] a decent shout.
*Note prices subject to change