Germany might be playing the key role in bailing Greece out of a giant financial hole, but the punters believe the former's charity will not extend to their much-anticipated Euro 2012 quarter-final showdown with Greece on Friday [Saturday morning Australian time].
Germany are set to go into the match as red-hot favourites, with not even the short odds on a win having deterred punters from backing them at Luxbet.
Die Mannschaft have already firmed from $1.33 to $1.32, with the draw easing from $4.70 to $4.75 and Greece steady in head-to-head betting at $9.25.
In a match that has huge political overtones given the European financial crisis, it is perhaps strange that it is only the third-ever meeting on the field between the Euro 1996 winners in Germany and the Euro 2004 winners in Greece.
The previous two were back in qualifying for the 2002 World Cup, which Germany both won convincingly ‑ 4-2 in Greece and 2-0 in Germany.
And although this match is being played on neutral soil in Poland, a similar easy victory for Germany again looks in the offering.
Greece, whose unforgettable win in this tournament eight years ago was one of the biggest upsets in football history, looked destined to make an early exit after they drew their opening game against Poland and lost their second match against the Czech Republic.
But they surprisingly beating Russia in their final group game to scrape through to the knockout stages by finishing runners-up in Group A.
Germany, meanwhile, amassed the perfect record ‑ the only team to do so in the group stages ‑ by winning all three preliminary round matches, despite being drawn in the toughest of the four groups alongside Portugal, Denmark and Holland.
As a result, Germany are not only favourites to sink Greece but have overtaken defending champions Spain as favourites to win the tournament overall at Luxbet.
|Mario Gomez to score the first goal of Germany v Greece at $4.10 at Luxbet
||Germany to beat Greece 2-0 in the Euro 2012 quarter-finals at $5.75 at Luxbet|
Greece's task has been made even harder by the fact inspirational captain Giorgos Karagounis will be miss the clash against Germany due to suspension, after picking up his second yellow card of the tournament - as well as scoring the winning goal - in the 1-0 win over Russia.
And for a team which scored just three goals in their three group matches, the loss of Karagounis robs Greece of one of their few genuine goalscoring options.
Germany, in contrast, have the tournament's equal-leading scorer to date in star striker Mario Gomez with three goals, and the Bayern Munich star looks a great bet to get among the goals again in this game.
Gomez is at the attractive price of $4.10 at Luxbet to score the game's opening goal and $4.25 to score the game's last goal, while he is odds-on at $1.84 to score at any time and $17 to score a hat-trick.
And while Germany do not represent great betting value even to lead at both half- and full-time at $1.81 at Luxbet [let alone in the head-to-head market at $1.32], the way to back them might be through the correct score market at Luxbet.
We like the look of Germany to win 2-0 at $5.75, which is the favoured option at Luxbet, while a 1-0 win is paying $6 and a 3-0 win a tempting $7.75.