The breakdown: Australia's World Cup equation

With so much riding on Australia's clash with Jordan, Goal Australia examines just what the situation is for the Socceroos ahead of their final two qualifiers

A late penalty from Keisuke Honda denied Australia victory in Saitama. Ahead of the crucial match with Jordan, what does this mean for the Socceroos' World Cup hopes?

With Japan five points clear at the top of Group B, the third-placed Socceroos are in an arm wrestle with the rest of their group.

Sitting third, Australia must contest with second place Oman, Jordan [fourth] and Iraq [fifth], who are all capable of securing a second-place group finish and a World Cup berth.

Oman have one game to play while Australia, Jordan and Iraq each have two.

The good news for Australia is that their World Cup fate is in their hands.

If the Socceroos can win against Jordan and Iraq at home they will sit on 13 points, leaving them safely in second position and in possession of a place in Brazil.

But if Australia lose against Jordan, their second-place chances are dashed and they must instead hope to sneak into the play-off spot in third.

If they draw, they will have to defeat Iraq, rely on Jordan to either win or draw at home against Oman with their goal difference [currently 0] all but certain to be enough.

Oman's goal difference is -2, while Jordan's is flailing at -6.

Jordan's record means they essentially must win both matches for automatic qualification.

Iraq is not out of the race either.

Victories against Japan and Australia will put them in second place unless Jordan win both remaining matches or Oman win their remaining match.

So for Australia, the equation is simple.

A loss to Jordan dashes their automatic qualification hopes. 

A draw keeps the scenario murky.

A win moves them into second and the leading position to qualify automatically.

Overall, if they lose both matches, their World Cup dream is over.  If they draw both matches, it could be too.

Win both games, and the 2014 World Cup waits for the Socceroos.

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